Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.841455 2.131578 2.450593 2.827146 3.259229 3.739289 4.312902
2025-03-09 1.416471 1.789678 2.235141 2.805090 3.514041 4.365978 5.466654
2025-03-16 1.093796 1.493495 2.006423 2.710869 3.651119 4.860667 6.532594
2025-03-23 0.943534 1.380526 1.978566 2.852996 4.094790 5.790399 8.276393
2025-03-30 0.811371 1.264496 1.922004 2.939584 4.467866 6.669544 10.072364
2025-04-06 0.687173 1.135404 1.821946 2.941492 4.711428 7.389075 11.731043
2025-04-13 0.556248 0.971382 1.640538 2.786780 4.688226 7.699327 12.805298
2025-04-20 0.497925 0.914205 1.616864 2.875021 5.054152 8.648879 14.992446
2025-04-27 0.458636 0.882194 1.628348 3.020243 5.528795 9.825177 17.689075
2025-05-04 0.413532 0.831668 1.598938 3.087158 5.872506 10.815472 20.180552
2025-05-11 0.370421 0.777406 1.553879 3.116962 6.149227 11.714544 22.608406
2025-05-18 0.319772 0.699792 1.453023 3.025403 6.184207 12.174580 24.277571
2025-05-25 0.269309 0.615554 1.329537 2.877051 6.100034 12.421345 25.614869
2025-06-01 0.241483 0.574950 1.288543 2.890476 6.340802 13.323071 28.342183
2025-06-08 0.209964 0.520701 1.210666 2.814576 6.386191 13.841073 30.361300
2025-06-15 0.200450 0.515726 1.239428 2.975353 6.958095 15.504317 34.952864
2025-06-22 0.187259 0.499641 1.240639 3.073857 7.405165 16.955179 39.261200
2025-06-29 0.169717 0.469658 1.204898 3.080882 7.644789 17.982925 42.761582
2025-07-06 0.145067 0.416896 1.106230 2.921975 7.474310 18.075992 44.168132
2025-07-13 0.136572 0.405859 1.109583 3.016128 7.924690 19.638181 49.145233
2025-07-20 0.131511 0.403465 1.134717 3.169344 8.540744 21.657047 55.430059
2025-07-27 0.123112 0.390054 1.128784 3.240137 8.956462 23.241045 60.839051
2025-08-03 0.113912 0.372641 1.109380 3.271786 9.274152 24.619194 65.892189